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Casa Grande picked to beat Santa Rosa


iner (3-2) at Analy (4-1)

Kickoff: 7:30 p.m.

Last week: Piner defeated Petaluma, 26-17. Analy beat Sonoma Valley, 44-14

Notable: The winner of this SCL marquee matchup will likely win the conference title … "I expect it will be a four-quarter battle," Tigers coach Dan Bourdon said. "In Noel Hernandez, they have one of the top two quarterbacks in the league." … The Prospectors prefer to throw the ball and that was Miramonte's game plan when the Matadors beat Analy on Sept. 13 … "This will be a good test," Bourdon said. "The key for us is to have an effective pass rush." … Piner coach John Antonio knows his team faces a tough task. "Analy's the best team we play this year, no doubt," he said. "They'll create some problems for us, especially on defense. We'll have to work our butts off." … Antonio said his team matches up well and they are healthy and ready … This is Analy's homecoming.

The pick: Analy

Montgomery (3-1) at Cardinal Newman (3-1)

Kickoff: 7 p.m.

Last week: Montgomery lost to Casa Grande, 30-12. Cardinal Newman beat Ukiah, 35-7.

Notable: Vikings first-string quarterback Elijah Hicks dislocated the shoulder on his throwing arm late in the first quarter of the Casa Grande game and will miss at least three weeks … R.J. Flores filled in last Friday (7-of-13 for 99 yards) and gets the call tonight … Montgomery faces the top three teams in the NBL on consecutive Fridays. Rancho Cotate is up next … "We're improving littleby little," coach Dean Haskins said. "We need to cut down on mistakes, especially assignment issues. We faced adversity for the first time this season in the Casa game and we responded. We played them even (6-6) in the second half." … Newman quarterback Keaton Dunsford has thrown 97 passes without an interception this season. The senior is 6-foot-5 and weighs 221. "Keaton's done a great job building his leadership skills," coach Paul Cronin said. "We are extremely proud of how he treats other teammates and helps them out. He's a great young man." … Sam Styles, a starting defensive lineman for Newman, will miss the game.

The pick: Cardinal Newman

Casa Grande (4-0) at Santa Rosa (2-2)

Kickoff: 7:30 p.m.

Last week: Casa Grande handled Montgomery, 30-12. Santa Rosa lost to Maria Carrillo, 42-21.

Notable: The Casa players can make history tonight. In the 39 years since the school opened, the Gauchos have never started a season 5-0 … Casa will be missing two starters. Offensive lineman Greg Poteracke had minor surgery on his knee and could be out a month while receiver Jonathen Weber re-aggravated a high ankle sprain and could miss two weeks … Coach Trent Herzog said the Gauchos continue to improve. "The defense is getting better and better and the same is true for all aspects of the kicking game. (JaJuan) Lawson is getting more and more comfortable with the new offense and is really starting to do great things with his reads and decision making." … Herzog also praised the Panthers, saying they are much better group than the school's teams the past six years.

The pick: Casa Grande

Windsor (2-2) at Maria Carrillo (2-2)

Kickoff: 7:30 p.m.

Last week: Windsor lost to Rancho Cotate, 43-14. Maria Carrillo beat Santa Rosa, 42-21.

Notable: After starting the year with back-to-back losses, the Pumas have won two games by identical 42-21 scores … "We've turned the corner," coach Jay Higgins said. "The guys are really working. The coaching staff continues to preach effort and domination to the players." … Carrillo has committed only one turnover in its two wins. "We still need to eliminate execution errors but we're moving in the right direction," Higgins said … Windsor has spent the week preparing for Pumas running back Alex Netherda. "I think he's the best running back we'll see this year," Jaguars coach Vic Amick said. "We haven't been able to stop the run this year, so Netherda is a big concern. The way I see this game is the team with the highest level of execution and the team who wants it more will be the winner." … Windsor will be thin at running back. Hunter Hanson is out with broken ribs and a punctured lung and Christian Roberge is questionable with concussion symptoms.

The pick: Maria Carrillo

Healdsburg (3-2) at Petaluma (2-3)

Kickoff: 7:30 p.m.

Last week: Healdsburg beat Elsie Allen, 52-0. Petaluma lost to Piner, 26-17

Notable: Healdsburg has beaten its last two opponents by a combined 92-10 … Petaluma had Piner on the ropes for three quarters before allowing two touchdowns by the Prospectors in the final stanza. "We need to clean up unnecessary mistakes and penalties," Trojans coach Rick Krist said. "We had our opportunities last Saturday, we just didn't capitalize. We're pretty healthy and we had a good week of practice. I think we're ready to compete." … The home field will help Petaluma but the resurgent Greyhounds will find a way to win.

The pick: Healdsburg

Ukiah (2-2) at Rancho Cotate (3-1)

Kickoff: 7:30 p.m.

Last week: Ukiah lost to Cardinal Newman, 35-7. Rancho Cotate defeated Windsor, 43-14.

Notable: On the injury front, there was good news and bad news for the Cougars … First, the good news. Linemen Oscar Nava and Steven DeSouza have been cleared to play after sitting out the Windsor game … Now the bad news. Fullback Tanoa Peleti must sit because of concussion symptoms and lineman Kevin Ferreira is sidelined with a shoulder injury … "I was happy with the way we moved the ball against Windsor," coach Ed Conroy said. "We had a good week of practice. We're working on cutting back turnovers and doing a better job on special teams." … Ukiah scores an average of 19 points and gives up 17.

The pick: Rancho Cotate

Fort Bragg (2-2) at Middletown (3-1)

Kickoff: 7:30 p.m.

Last week: Fort Bragg beat Lower Lake, 33-6. Middletown defeated Willits, 67-0.

Notable: A matchup between two of the top teams in NCL I … Middletown is 21-6 at home going back five years … Mustangs quarterback Josiah Amos, who began the season sidelined with an injury, is making up for lost time. He threw three touchdown passes last Friday … Last year, the schools played in Fort Bragg and the Timberwolves prevailed, 18-14.

The pick: Middletown

El Molino (1-3) at Elsie Allen (1-4)

Kickoff: 7:30 p.m.

Last week: El Molino had a bye. Elsie Allen lost at Healdsburg, 52-0.

Notable: When these schools met last year in Forestville, El Molino won 42-0 … The Lions haven't scored a point since Aug. 30 when they defeated Willits, 25-0 … Elsie Allen has been shutout in its last two games … El Mo will be playing its third straight road game … Tough to give one team an edge over the other. Which school wants it more?

The pick: El Molino

Sonoma Valley (2-2) at Richmond Kennedy (0-4)

Kickoff: 7:30 p.m.

Last week: Lost to Analy, 44-14. Kennedy fell to Fremont, 13-6.

Notable: The Dragons are coming off a pair of losses in which they were outscored, 91-33 … Kennedy has been outscored this season, 115-26 … "We ran into two pretty good teams," coach Bob Midgley replied when asked about his team's two-game losing streak. "We had real good practices on Tuesday and Wednesday and I think we're ready to bounce back. Our goal is to get off the ball and out execute them. We plan to use this nonleague game as a building block."

The pick: Sonoma Valley

St. Helena (3-1) at Lower Lake (2-2)

Kickoff: 7:30 p.m.

Last week: St. Helena beat Kelseyville, 42-12. Lower Lake lost to Fort Bragg, 33-6.

Notable: Saints running back Sebastian Segura runs for an average of 165 yards per game. The senior is 5-foot-9 and weighs 180 … Both teams prefer the run over the pass. The Saints average 231 yards rushing and 105 receiving while the Trojans gain an average of 295 on the ground and 66 through the air … Isazah King, Eric Moreno and Mason Sanders get the majority of Lower Lake's touches.

The pick: St. Helena

Cloverdale (0-4) at Kelseyville (3-1)

Kickoff: 7:30 p.m.

Last week: Cloverdale lost to Clear Lake, 20-19. Kelseyville lost at St. Helena, 42-12.

Notable: Even though they're winless, the Eagles have cut their losing margin each week of the season (29, 15, 12, 1) … Cloverdale is on the road after three straight home games … Until running up against St. Helena, Kelseyville had outscored its first three opponents, 164-31.

The pick: Kelseyville

St. Vincent (3-1) at California School for the Deaf (2-2)

Kickoff: 7 p.m.

Last week: St. Vincent beat Stellar Prep, 33-8. CSD defeated Upper Lake, 60-0.

Notable: Defense has been the key to St. Vincent's fast start. The Mustangs have recorded 11 sacks with Danny Rodriguez and Justin Sablik each being credited for 2? … Derek Murphy leads the team with 16 solo tackles and Patrick Garcia has 13 … The defense is allowing 6.5 points per game.

The pick: St. Vincent

Willits (0-4) at Clear Lake (3-1)

Kickoff: 7:30 p.m.

Last week: Willits lost to Middletown, 67-0. Clear Lake edged Cloverdale, 20-19.

Notable: It's been a difficult first year for Wolverines coach Nick Williamson. His team has scored only six points while the defense has allowed an average of 42 … Clear Lake finally gets a home game following three consecutive games on the road.

The pick: Clear Lake

Upper Lake (0-4) at Stellar Prep (0-4)

Kickoff: 7 p.m.

Last week: Upper Lake lost to CSD, 60-0. Stellar Prep lost at St. Vincent, 33-8.

Notable: Upper Lake's two-way starter Ian Seevers is sidelined with a broken hand and Charles Edmunds has missed time because of a concussion … The lone highlight in last Saturday's loss to CSD was the fumble recoveries by Gabe Anderson, Isiah McBee and Tyler Banks … One of Stellar's losses was to Analy (49-6).